Nicosia, Cyprus. New polling published on Saturday indicates a highly competitive parliamentary election, with Disy maintaining a narrow lead over Akel ahead of the May 24 vote. Analysts said the outcome remains fluid and a split House is increasingly likely.
Disy leads in three polls
Three major polls published by Phileleftheros, Sigma and Alpha placed Disy in first position, though the gap over Akel remained small.
Explorer survey results for Phileleftheros
The largest survey, conducted by pollsters Explorer for Phileleftheros, showed Disy on 19.7 per cent after vote redistribution, ahead of Akel on 18.8 per cent. Elam was third with 11.6 per cent, while Diko and Alma were tied on 8.3 per cent.
Direct Democracy followed on 6.7 per cent, and Volt stood at 3.2 per cent, close to the parliamentary threshold.
Shifts in support and regional differences
The poll recorded a decline in support for newer political movements compared with previous months. Phileleftheros said “traditional parties seem to be reconsolidating their base” during the final stretch of the campaign, while Alma recorded “a significant drop” exceeding two percentage points compared with earlier polling.
Regional figures showed variations across districts, with Elam leading in Famagusta on 22 per cent, while Akel maintained strong support in Larnaca on 23 per cent. Disy remained dominant in Paphos on 23 per cent and narrowly led Akel in Nicosia.
Sigma poll forecasts seat turnover
A separate Sigma poll pointed to major parliamentary changes, with electoral analyst Nasios Orinos estimating that between 17 and 22 seats could change hands.
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