Poll sees Le Pen and Melenchon reaching French presidential run-off in five scenarios
A Toluna Harris Interactive poll puts Marine Le Pen ahead in the first round and Jean-Luc Melenchon second in all five scenarios surveyed.
Paris, France. Marine Le Pen and Jean-Luc Melenchon would advance to the run-off in next year’s French presidential election in all five scenarios tested by a poll published on Monday. The election is scheduled for April and May.
First-round projections
Le Pen, leader of the far-right National Rally (RN), would win 35% to 36% in the first round, up from 33% in an earlier poll published on September 14. Melenchon, of the far-left France Unbowed party, would receive 17% to 18%.
Leading centrist hopeful Edouard Philippe was projected to win 13% to 16%, leaving him short of the run-off. The findings suggest a contest between candidates from the political extremes amid rising prices, a sluggish economy and geopolitical instability.
Run-off scenarios
The survey projects Le Pen winning 69% against Melenchon in a second round. In a hypothetical run-off against Philippe, she would win 57%.
Toluna Harris Interactive conducted the poll from September 22 to 24 for French TV channel M6 and Luxembourg-based media group RTL.
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